Kane favourite for Ballon d'Or after World Cup heroics

Harry Kane is the bookmakers’ favourite to win the Ballon d’Or 2026, following a season of relentless goal-scoring and creation for Bayern Munich and England ^[2]. His campaign has been bolstered by a standout performance at the World Cup, where he helped England secure bronze, silencing critics who questioned his place in the national team.

Despite his form, the race remains wide open. Spain’s 2024 winner Rodri and 19-year-old defender Cubarsi have surged into contention after Spain’s World Cup triumph ^[2]. Cubarsi, already named Young Player of the Tournament, has become a defensive cornerstone for both Barcelona and Spain, playing a key role in the Blaugrana’s nine league wins without defeat. His inclusion in The Independent’s top 10 power rankings marks a rare feat for a teenager, though it has not been confirmed that he will become the second player to win both the Golden Boy and Ballon d’Or in the same year.

Kylian Mbappé’s eight World Cup goals briefly reignited the debate, pushing Lionel Messi—now 39—into the conversation again ^[2]. Messi, who inspired Inter Miami to the Campeones Cup, has been tipped by Sir David Beckham to win despite no club silverware this season.

Erling Haaland, though prolific with 12 goals in 10 games for Manchester City, faces an uphill battle. The Ballon d’Or voting closed after City’s recent guilty verdict over financial fair play breaches, with the club accused of inflating sponsorship income by £830m ^[2]. While Haaland’s performances remain elite, some voters may be swayed by the club’s tainted reputation.

Jude Bellingham, once doubted for his England role, has re-established himself with four goal contributions in a 7-0 win over Croatia—the first midfielder to achieve that for England since David Platt in 1993 ^[2]. His World Cup redemption arc has elevated his profile, though his Ballon d’Or chances remain slim.

Vinicius Jr. holds a top 10 spot despite a trophyless Real Madrid season, but has been overtaken by Cubarsi in the rankings ^[2]. Meanwhile, France’s Kylian Mbappé and Germany’s Jamal Musiala are also in the mix, though not ranked in the top tier.