Cowboys vs. Packers: 38-35? 40-40? This SB could break records

The Cowboys and Packers are set to clash on Sunday Night Football at Lambeau Field, promising a historic shootout. According to the New York Post, the total is set at 52.5 points — a number that’s already sparking aggressive betting ^[1]. Both teams boast top-five passing offenses, with Green Bay averaging 271 yards per game and Dallas 269.6. The Cowboys’ defense, ranked 32nd in DVOA, has already allowed 30 points to two below-average offenses this season, fueling the Over trend.

The rivalry’s history backs the high-scoring expectation. In every meeting between these two teams, the winner has scored at least 30 points — a fact confirmed by ESPN’s deep dive into their storied matchups ^[2]. That streak includes the 40-40 overtime tie in Week 4 of the 2025 season, the highest-scoring tie since regular-season overtime began in 1974. That game saw six straight second-half touchdowns, a 28-yard strike from Dak Prescott to George Pickens, and a last-second 34-yard field goal by Brandon McManus to force OT.

The rivalry spans decades, from the Ice Bowl to the 2016 playoff game where Dez Bryant’s controversial catch was upheld after review — a moment that led to a revised NFL catch rule ^[2]. Aaron Rodgers’ career-altering debut came in Dallas in 2007, and the teams have met in three NFC Championship Games, with the Cowboys winning in 1995.

Bettor Erich Richter, a Brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt and MMA betting expert, is backing the Over 52.5 at -110 and even higher totals on FanDuel ^[1]. His 30.15% ROI since 2022 underscores his confidence in high-scoring games. With both offenses firing and a history of explosive results, this game could be a fantasy manager’s dream — and the only thing that might decide it is a 65-yard field goal from Brandon Aubrey.